Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 109.978310 125.073270 141.774980 161.674537 184.802512 210.910896 242.722031
2025-11-30 88.634280 108.358114 132.047240 162.787883 201.903317 250.383292 315.593712
2025-12-07 73.392623 94.270172 120.803819 157.361705 206.987649 272.818710 368.117815
2025-12-14 64.005436 85.531384 114.164911 155.594525 214.926518 298.252419 426.681042
2025-12-21 58.064991 80.296334 111.064600 157.541665 227.349993 330.557363 499.007907
2025-12-28 54.590046 77.888505 111.328761 163.898556 246.460332 374.608084 595.587164
2026-01-04 50.944848 74.717961 109.956614 167.363999 261.224189 413.512060 689.785519
2026-01-11 46.727742 70.189248 105.954891 166.071944 267.923870 439.852013 766.384400
2026-01-18 44.214794 67.986368 105.237633 169.822124 283.201382 482.374580 878.727694
2026-01-25 41.178089 64.635307 102.300973 169.430460 291.094844 512.673925 972.839342
2026-02-01 38.888966 62.268152 100.705043 171.075654 302.667277 551.033474 1089.299612
2026-02-08 36.042012 58.713845 96.761264 168.077735 305.165690 572.234618 1173.583596
2026-02-15 33.429642 55.560994 93.601436 166.900717 312.462020 606.932900 1301.144736
2026-02-22 31.429760 53.319315 91.880276 168.332464 325.386848 655.934002 1474.127056
2026-03-01 28.666355 49.457675 86.833622 162.710661 323.057372 671.968246 1572.197831
2026-03-08 26.709870 46.878231 83.891001 160.875968 328.384222 705.725724 1722.653290
2026-03-15 25.427496 45.424517 82.917190 162.898349 342.342176 761.659419 1945.580558
2026-03-22 24.779232 45.101809 84.079399 169.501640 367.564724 849.125460 2279.929633
2026-03-29 23.845345 44.139392 83.868999 173.101962 386.331500 924.120180 2599.964877
2026-04-05 22.489768 42.230021 81.556611 171.759574 392.977419 968.949280 2840.380219
2026-04-12 21.743736 41.477515 81.557070 175.655994 413.218496 1054.286311 3238.572763
2026-04-19 20.665975 39.959043 79.800486 175.249036 422.385587 1110.577408 3556.356459
2026-04-26 19.850114 38.918128 78.973677 176.958505 437.410212 1186.919022 3971.917942